By Sama Marwan,
Iran is currently considering closing the Strait of Hormuz, in light of the ongoing war between Iran and Israel.
The Revolutionary Guard commander, Sardar Esmail Kowsari, stated in a local media interview that “closing the Strait of Hormuz is under consideration, and Iran will make the best and most decisive decision.”
But how would Europe be affected if that happens?
Kowsari, who is also a member of parliament in addition to his military role, added:
“We have many options to punish the enemy. Military retaliation is just one part of our comprehensive response.”
He noted that Iranian missiles, both short- and medium-range, are capable of targeting oil infrastructure, pipelines in the strait, or even commercial vessels.
He said ground-to-ground missiles can hit oil tankers or ports along the Gulf, and air raids using drones and aircraft can disrupt navigation equipment or radar systems at major seaports in the region.
Drones, such as Iran’s Shahed models, could be used to attack shipping lanes or infrastructure in the strait.
Iran may even attempt to deploy warships to block the strait.
In 2012, Iran launched a cyberattack on Saudi Arabia’s oil industry, demonstrating its growing capabilities in that field.
According to the European Centre for Counterterrorism and Intelligence Studies, the Strait of Hormuz is one of the most strategic chokepoints in the world, and any blockade by Iran would pose serious risks to Europe.
Threats to Energy Security
Around 20% of the world’s oil and a significant portion of natural gas pass through the strait.
Europe imports oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Gulf states, much of which passes through this route.
If Iran blocks it, global oil prices would surge, and Europe could face energy shortages, especially in countries reliant on Middle Eastern fuel.
According to the European report, a spike in oil and energy prices would fuel inflation and halt industrial operations across Europe, also impacting transport and agriculture.
The report added that the strait’s importance goes beyond energy—it is also a major global shipping route, and any disruption would negatively affect European imports of raw materials and goods, leading to a visible impact on markets.
